"Legitimacy increasingly flows to whoever processes uncertainty first. Markets have optimized for speed. Democracy has been ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

This article contains references to products from our advertisers and/or partners, and we may receive compensation when you click on links to products and services Precious metal investing has always ...

So, yeah, you should probably take economic forecasts with a grain — heck, a giant heap — of salt. All that said … It's still interesting to get a sense of what professional forecasters are predicting ...

Prediction markets like Kalshi, which some liken to legalized gambling, allow investors to bet on reality. How do they work ...

Warren Buffett once quipped, “Forecasts may tell you a great deal about the forecaster; they tell you nothing about the ...

Kalshi, the prediction site known for turning headlines into tradable bets, is now being taken seriously by economists. A new ...